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dc.contributor.authorCharemza, W. W.-
dc.contributor.authorKharin, Yu. S.-
dc.date.accessioned2014-04-15T10:29:42Z-
dc.date.available2014-04-15T10:29:42Z-
dc.date.issued2007-
dc.identifier.urihttp://elib.bsu.by/handle/123456789/94039-
dc.description.abstractThe paper aims at assessing the forecast risk and the maximum admissible forecast horizon, where a distortion is caused by a simple first-order bilinear process. The concept of the p-maximum admissible forecast risk is proposed and discussed. It has been evaluated for monthly inflation series for 141 countries. The dominant maximum admissible forecast horizon for non-systematic inflation is equal to 8 months, while for the headline inflation it is equal to 19 months.ru
dc.language.isoenru
dc.publisherMinsk: BSUru
dc.subjectЭБ БГУ::ОБЩЕСТВЕННЫЕ НАУКИ::Информатикаru
dc.titleEvaluation of the Maximum Admissible Forecast Horizon of a Simple Bilinear Processru
dc.typeconference paperru
Appears in Collections:Section 6. ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS AND MODELING

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