Комплексная интервально-итерационная модель оценки рисков деятельности предприятия

Abstract

In this paper the model of interval-iterative company’s risk estimation is proposed. This method is implemented on the base of author’s software «MIIRE». The estimation of risks is based on four indicators: the level of stability, the level of risk, the level of internal insurance against bankruptcy and the average profitability of production. The computation of proposed indicators is based on simulation modelling. The method of risk estimation and, in particular, the software «MIIRE» are designed primarily for small businesses, taking into account some features of small companies, but also can be used at the macro level.